November 06, 2025

Nobel Prize to Economic Historians: Takeaways for India


On October 13th, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for 2025 to three economists: Joel Mokyr of Northwestern University, USA; Philippe Aghion of the London School of Economics; and Peter Howitt of Brown University, USA, for “having explained innovation-driven [economic] growth”. Half of the prize money was given to Joe Mokyr for “having identified the prerequisites for sustained economic growth through technological progress”, and the remaining half was given jointly to Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt “for the theory of sustained growth through creative destruction.”

The Industrial Revolution is the key driver behind modern sustained economic growth in Europe, and Joel Mokyr is a leading economic historian who has extensively researched it. His meticulous research enabled him to differentiate the technical breakthroughs of the era into two main types: macro-inventions – paradigm-shifting innovations – such as the steam engine, that completely revolutionised the way that things are done; and micro-inventions that have brought incremental improvements that acted as catalysts in unlocking the economic potential of their macro counterparts.  He also found that the positive feedback loops between propositional and prescriptive knowledge as well as increased communication between savants and fabricants, lead to sustained scientific and technological progress.

His research identified the Industrial Enlightenment of the 18th century and the scientific revolution of the 17th century as the key drivers behind the Industrial Revolution in the West, particularly in England.  Five decades of Mokyr’s work on the cultural and intellectual history of economic growth in the continent have revealed that economic progress is critically dependent on open intellectual inquiry, the free exchange of ideas, and people’s curiosity to learn and defend scientific principles. He avers that more than economic inputs, it is such an intellectual climate that allowed knowledge to accumulate and spread, resulting in technological progress that ultimately led to modern economic growth.  In his book, The Enlightened Economy (20
09), Mokyr argues that economic modernity has not emerged from capital accumulation, resource endowments, or
the opening of trade routes, but rather from a cultural transformation centred on reason and scientific discovery.

It was Joseph Schumpeter, an Austrian economist, who first coined the idea of ‘creative destruction’ in the 1940s, which encapsulates the idea that economic progress is accompanied by significant disruption – that every major innovation has displaced older technologies, jobs and firms. It, however, remained primarily as a descriptive concept for over 50 years. This year’s Nobel laureates, Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, provided this intuition with a rigorous mathematical framework that explains the precise mechanisms, incentives, and conditions under which creative destruction generates aggregate economic growth.  The model places entrepreneurs and their purposeful investment in research and development at the centre of growth, highlighting the significance of policy implications such as R&D subsidies, resolution of conflicts between new and established firms, and labour policies, particularly support for displaced labour by new technologies from governmental agencies. That aside, their models inspired many researchers to connect growth theory to microdata on firms and empirically test how innovation, competition and firm dynamics interact. They have later researched how education systems, competition, regulation, and state policies impact the innovation process.   

Right from economists to political leaders, all are interested in knowing what drives long-term economic growth. In the 1950s, Solow came up with a long-run economic growth model, which showed that capital accumulation, labour and technological progress drive economic growth. But the model does not explain how technological progress leads to growth except to state that it happens exogenously and increases the productivity of both capital and labour. Interestingly, Mokyr, Aghion, and Howitt brought innovation in technology into the model to examine its impact on economic growth. Their work offers a post-Solow explanation of growth by mathematically formalising the process by which innovation cycles replace older technologies.

The research output of these three Nobel Laureates offers crucial insights for India, which is currently facing challenges in sustaining its growth as the world economy becomes increasingly protectionist, knowledge sharing is under scrutiny and geopolitical tensions are mounting. Their research suggests that we must work towards creating open, adaptive societies that allow new ideas to challenge incumbents, so that vested interests do not block technological advances and progress. Increased investment in education and training is crucial for maintaining a steady supply of skilled innovators, which is essential for sustaining growth. Additionally, linking universities, entrepreneurs, and manufacturers to build a vibrant innovation ecosystem will go a long way in sustaining purposeful innovations. 

Innovation is like yoga—it requires greater mental clarity, emotional balance, a sense of mental peace, discipline, and a sense of purpose. This can happen only when ease of living is ensured and is not threatened by fear of repercussions. Above all, economic progress is critically dependent on open intellectual inquiry and the free exchange of ideas. India once had a free and fair atmosphere in which great spiritual thoughts were produced—the likes of the Upaniads, Sankhya philosophy, Patanjali’s Yoga Sutra, Sushruta Samhita, and Charaka Samhita were produced. In one of his lectures in London, Vivekananda said: “I see before me … that in some of those forest retreats this question [of Maya] is being discussed by those ancient sages of India … where even the oldest and the holiest fail to reach the solution, a young man stands up in the midst of them, and declares, ‘Hear, ye children of immortality, hear, ye who live in the highest places. I have found the way …’”. However, unfortunately, once a culture of secrecy and control by a caste-based system crept in, intellectual excellence began to decay, giving way to meaningless rituals. So, we must eradicate the culture of control that thwarts the generation of ideas and innovations in our society. Leadership is what counts in all these initiatives for India to grow. 

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